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Naseej for Technology Co. NOMU

9538.SR · Technology · · SAR
40.70 SAR
+0.00 (0.00%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Nomu Parallel Market QI Only
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

36
/ 100
Technical 22
Trend & RS 40
Momentum 37
Fundamental (0%) 44
Macro 76
Liquidity 6
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 22.5 40%
Trend & RS 40.1 20%
Momentum 37.4 20%
Fundamental 44.4 0%
Macro 75.8 15%
Liquidity 6.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 40.70
Stop Loss 38.06 (6.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 43.34 (+6.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 45.98 (+13.0%)
ATR(14) 1.32 (3.2%)
Risk per Share 2.64
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 56.4 +0.26
Momentum 37.4 -0.50
Quality 29.5 -0.82
Composite 41.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 39.5 28.0 +41% above
P/B Ratio 1.5 6.0 Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
8.71
vs
Market Price
40.70
Upside
-78.6%
Margin of Safety -367.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)15,696,590
Terminal Value PV27,848,912
Total Enterprise Value43,545,502

Assumptions

Base FCF4,120,000
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

2.7%
Recommended Size
21.56%
Full Kelly
10.78%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
52.99
RSI(14)
-0.3626
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

25
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI → FLAT (-10.9% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Technology)
RS New High No (54d since high)
Sector Outperformance +0.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 52.99 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.3626 BEARISH
Ma Cross 39.75 / 46.03 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.32x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High52.90
Bollinger Upper44.78
SMA(200)46.03
SMA(50)39.75
SMA(20)40.6
Current Price40.70
Bollinger Lower36.43
52-Week Low35.00
ATR(14)1.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION C Confidence
100%
Spring (potential) Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)
Acc: 3.5  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 1.38x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 0.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 0.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10 Normal 0.17x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.32x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 39.08 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 39.45 Base line
Senkou A 39.27 Leading span A
Senkou B 39.70 Leading span B
Cloud 39.27 – 39.70 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 40.70 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 36.46 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 36.43 – 44.78  |  KC: 38.65 – 42.56

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 39.82 Anchor: 2026-04-07 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/9538.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap203.50M
P/E (TTM)39.51
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.49
EPS1.03

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-11.1%
Profit Margin2.3%
ROE4.3%
Debt/Equity4.54
Current Ratio1.74
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.18

Trading Data

40.70
Open
40.70
Day High
40.70
Day Low
0.00
Volume (0.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —