Future Care Trading Co. NOMU
9544.SR · Healthcare · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
49
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
32
Fundamental
67
Macro
76
Liquidity
20
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 54.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 32.3 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 75.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 19.5 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 1.78 |
| Stop Loss | 1.64 (7.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 1.92 (+7.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 2.06 (+15.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.07 (3.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 4.1 | -1.84 | |
| Momentum | 32.3 | -0.71 | |
| Quality | 72.1 | +0.88 | |
| Composite | 36.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 59.7 | 22.0 | +171% above |
| P/B Ratio | 9.2 | 4.0 | Above |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
0.62
vs
Market Price
1.79
Upside
-65.5%
| Margin of Safety | -190.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 84,421,078 |
| Terminal Value PV | 224,203,021 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 308,624,099 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 12,000,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
31.76%
Full Kelly
15.88%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
39.91
RSI(14)
-0.0281
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
85
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (-5.7% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (22d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +5.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 39.91 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0281 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 1.86 / 2.05 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.2x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 4.12 |
| Bollinger Upper | 2.02 |
| SMA(200) | 2.05 |
| SMA(50) | 1.86 |
| SMA(20) | 1.89 |
| Current Price | 1.79 |
| Bollinger Lower | 1.75 |
| 52-Week Low | 1.51 |
| ATR(14) | 0.07 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 1.46x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | No Demand | 0.2x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 1.85 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 1.95 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 1.90 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 1.88 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 1.88 – 1.90 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 1.78 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 1.94 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 1.75 – 2.02 | KC: 1.78 – 1.99
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 5 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 8 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 2.24
Anchor: 2025-08-11 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-20.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9544.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 895.00M |
| P/E (TTM) | 59.67 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.23 |
| EPS | 0.03 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 45.5% |
| Profit Margin | 20.7% |
| ROE | 17.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.49 |
| Current Ratio | 9.30 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.18 |
Trading Data
1.79
Open
1.79
Day High
1.79
Day Low
123.0K
Volume (0.2x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)