Knowledge Tower NOMU
9551.SR · Consumer Cyclical · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
36
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
16
Momentum
7
Fundamental
44
Macro
76
Liquidity
11
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 15.8 | 10% |
| Momentum | 7.0 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 40% |
| Macro | 75.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 10.9 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 7.00 |
| Stop Loss | 6.48 (7.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 7.52 (+7.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 8.04 (+14.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.26 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.52 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 41.6 | -0.34 | |
| Momentum | 7.0 | -1.72 | |
| Quality | 38.2 | -0.47 | |
| Composite | 28.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.8 | 18.0 | +105% above |
| P/B Ratio | 4.9 | 2.5 | Above |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
1.61
vs
Market Price
7.00
Upside
-77.0%
| Margin of Safety | -335.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,134,206 |
| Terminal Value PV | 17,980,123 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 28,114,329 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,660,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
21.13%
Full Kelly
10.57%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
30.7
RSI(14)
-0.4725
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
2
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-35.7% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (47d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -32.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 30.7 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.4725 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 8.56 / 11.89 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 17.48 |
| Bollinger Upper | 8.4 |
| SMA(200) | 11.89 |
| SMA(50) | 8.56 |
| SMA(20) | 7.47 |
| Current Price | 7.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 6.54 |
| 52-Week Low | 6.98 |
| ATR(14) | 0.26 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | No Supply | 0.37x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | No Demand | 0.13x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 7.21 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 7.96 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 7.58 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 8.91 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 7.58 – 8.91 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 7.00 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 8.02 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 6.54 – 8.4 | KC: 7.07 – 7.87
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 6 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 7.04
Anchor: 2026-05-07 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9551.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 122.50M |
| P/E (TTM) | 36.84 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.87 |
| EPS | 0.19 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -23.5% |
| Profit Margin | 7.5% |
| ROE | 9.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 27.81 |
| Current Ratio | 1.96 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.86 |
Trading Data
7.00
Open
7.00
Day High
7.00
Day Low
140.00
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)