Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company

9601.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

59.00 SAR

+0.00 (0.25%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 21

Momentum 32

Fundamental 89

Macro 59

Liquidity 70

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	21.1	10%
Momentum	31.9	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	70.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	59.00
Stop Loss	55.52 (5.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	62.48 (+5.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	65.96 (+11.8%)

ATR(14)	1.74 (3.0%)
Risk per Share	3.48
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	70.9	+0.84
Momentum	29.0	-0.84
Quality	60.6	+0.42
Composite	53.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 8.63 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.5	18.0	-14% below
P/B Ratio	3.3	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

51.47

Market Price

59.00

Upside

-12.8%

Margin of Safety	-14.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	287,077,532
Terminal Value PV	639,392,511
Total Enterprise Value	926,470,043

Assumptions

Base FCF	54,720,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

42.47%

Full Kelly

21.24%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.76

RSI(14)

-0.4718

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-15.1% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (56d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-20.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.76	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.4718	BULLISH
Ma Cross	60.65 / 71.88	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	4.82x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	91.75
Bollinger Upper	61.97
SMA(200)	71.88
SMA(50)	60.65
SMA(20)	59.89
Current Price	59.00
Bollinger Lower	57.82
52-Week Low	54.00
ATR(14)	1.74

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Supply	0.36x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-02	Normal	0.45x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	4.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	57.65	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	58.00	Base line
Senkou A	57.83	Leading span A
Senkou B	62.17	Leading span B
Cloud	57.83 – 62.17	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	59.00	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	55.50	Bullish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 57.82 – 61.97 | KC: 57.91 – 61.88

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	26

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 61.59 Anchor: 2026-06-16 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -4.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/9601.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.06B
P/E (TTM)	15.53
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	3.30
EPS	3.80

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	13.8%
Profit Margin	18.4%
ROE	23.8%
Debt/Equity	32.02
Current Ratio	2.50
Dividend Yield	3.6%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.34

Trading Data

59.00

Open

59.00

Day High

59.00

Day Low

5.9K

Volume (2.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)