ASG Plastic Factory Company

9607.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

24.85 SAR

0.00 (-1.62%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 16:50 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 74

Momentum 54

Fundamental 67

Macro 55

Liquidity 30

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	73.8	10%
Momentum	53.7	5%
Fundamental	66.7	40%
Macro	54.7	15%
Liquidity	30.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	24.85
Stop Loss	23.63 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	26.07 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	27.29 (+9.8%)

ATR(14)	0.61 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	1.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.8	+1.51
Momentum	53.7	+0.15
Quality	70.9	+0.84
Composite	70.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.7	18.0	-52% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	1.9%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

58.64

Market Price

24.85

Upside

+136.0%

Margin of Safety	+57.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	226,164,061
Terminal Value PV	600,639,877
Total Enterprise Value	826,803,938

Assumptions

Base FCF	32,147,999
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

38.45%

Full Kelly

19.22%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.79

RSI(14)

-0.1836

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+0.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+6.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.79	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1836	BULLISH
Ma Cross	25.59 / 23.39	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.16x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	27.84
Bollinger Upper	25.7
SMA(200)	23.39
SMA(50)	25.59
SMA(20)	25.01
Current Price	24.85
Bollinger Lower	24.32
52-Week Low	19.00
ATR(14)	0.61

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

75%

Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	No Supply	0.2x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-11-03	Normal	0.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	24.68	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	25.11	Base line
Senkou A	24.89	Leading span A
Senkou B	25.76	Leading span B
Cloud	24.89 – 25.76	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	24.85	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	25.78	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 4 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 24.32 – 25.7 | KC: 23.98 – 26.04

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	8
Regular Bullish	MACD	8

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 24.14 Anchor: 2026-05-11 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/9607.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	350.38M
P/E (TTM)	8.72
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.03
EPS	2.85

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	65.8%
Profit Margin	18.9%
ROE	25.5%
Debt/Equity	23.90
Current Ratio	3.44
Dividend Yield	1.9%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.01

Trading Data

24.85

Open

24.85

Day High

24.85

Day Low

6.8K

Volume (1.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)