Shmoh Almadi Company

9622.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR

9.50 SAR

+0.00 (0.00%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 44

Momentum 51

Fundamental 67

Macro 59

Liquidity 10

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	43.7	30%
Momentum	50.9	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	59.4	20%
Liquidity	9.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	9.50
Stop Loss	9.28 (2.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	9.72 (+2.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	9.94 (+4.6%)

ATR(14)	0.11 (1.2%)
Risk per Share	0.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	91.8	+1.67
Momentum	50.9	+0.04
Quality	60.7	+0.43
Composite	67.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	9.5	18.0	-47% below
P/B Ratio	1.1	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	10.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

11.00

Market Price

9.50

Upside

+15.8%

Margin of Safety	+13.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	34,218,476
Terminal Value PV	69,227,184
Total Enterprise Value	103,445,660

Assumptions

Base FCF	7,520,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	8.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

32.35%

Full Kelly

16.18%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

63.35

RSI(14)

0.1826

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+6.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+1.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	63.35	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.1826	BULLISH
Ma Cross	9.01 / 9.53	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.42x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	13.90
Bollinger Upper	9.94
SMA(200)	9.53
SMA(50)	9.01
SMA(20)	9.02
Current Price	9.50
Bollinger Lower	8.1
52-Week Low	8.36
ATR(14)	0.11

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION C Confidence

78%

Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.5 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	2.32x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	5.45x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.42x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.42x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	9.36	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	9.36	Base line
Senkou A	9.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	9.18	Leading span B
Cloud	9.18 – 9.36	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	9.50	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	9.00	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 8.1 – 9.94 | KC: 8.87 – 9.18

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 9.06 Anchor: 2026-07-15 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +4.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/9622.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	89.30M
P/E (TTM)	9.50
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.10
EPS	1.00

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	8.5%
Profit Margin	7.9%
ROE	13.1%
Debt/Equity	7.10
Current Ratio	4.96
Dividend Yield	10.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

9.50

Open

9.50

Day High

9.50

Day Low

30.00

Volume (0.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)