Hawyia Auctions Company

9641.SR · Real Estate · · SAR

13.50 SAR

+0.00 (2.27%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 16:50 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 82

Momentum 64

Fundamental 44

Macro 55

Liquidity 23

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	81.8	30%
Momentum	64.1	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	54.7	20%
Liquidity	23.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	13.50
Stop Loss	12.58 (6.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	14.42 (+6.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	15.34 (+13.6%)

ATR(14)	0.46 (3.4%)
Risk per Share	0.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	67.3	+0.69
Momentum	64.1	+0.56
Quality	100.0	+2.00
Composite	77.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	13.4	18.0	-26% below
P/B Ratio	4.9	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.7%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

8.54

Market Price

13.50

Upside

-36.7%

Margin of Safety	-58.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	61,567,208
Terminal Value PV	109,232,624
Total Enterprise Value	170,799,832

Assumptions

Base FCF	16,160,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

46.16%

Full Kelly

23.08%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

57.69

RSI(14)

-0.0592

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+11.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+13.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	57.69	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0592	BULLISH
Ma Cross	13.07 / 12.94	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.47x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	14.79
Bollinger Upper	13.82
SMA(200)	12.94
SMA(50)	13.07
SMA(20)	12.88
Current Price	13.50
Bollinger Lower	11.94
52-Week Low	11.00
ATR(14)	0.46

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Upthrust	12.56x	High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-11-03	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	0.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	1.47x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	13.39	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	13.39	Base line
Senkou A	13.39	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.14	Leading span B
Cloud	13.14 – 13.39	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	13.50	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	13.00	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 11.94 – 13.82 | KC: 12.34 – 13.42

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 13.40 Anchor: 2026-08-23 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/9641.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	270.00M
P/E (TTM)	13.37
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	4.94
EPS	1.01

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-66.9%
Profit Margin	42.1%
ROE	40.7%
Debt/Equity	N/A
Current Ratio	9.23
Dividend Yield	3.7%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

13.50

Open

13.50

Day High

13.50

Day Low

4.5K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)