Airbnb, Inc.
ABNB · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)
68
/ 100
Technical
80
Trend & RS
86
Momentum
79
Fundamental
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
44
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 80.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 85.6 | 10% |
| Momentum | 79.2 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 43.6 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 191.01 |
| Stop Loss | 177.47 (7.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 204.55 (+7.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 218.09 (+14.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 6.77 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 13.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 6.7 | -1.73 | |
| Momentum | 79.2 | +1.17 | |
| Quality | 64.3 | +0.57 | |
| Composite | 50.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
29.27
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 42.6 | 18.0 | +136% above |
| P/B Ratio | 12.0 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
108.50
vs
Market Price
186.83
Upside
-41.9%
| Margin of Safety | -72.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,634,519,152 |
| Terminal Value PV | 35,884,290,333 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 45,518,809,485 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,473,387,801 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 18.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
44.77%
Full Kelly
22.38%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
66.74
RSI(14)
2.52
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
88
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +2.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 66.74 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.52 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 169.09 / 147.78 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.06x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 193.45 |
| Bollinger Upper | 184.0 |
| SMA(200) | 147.78 |
| SMA(50) | 169.09 |
| SMA(20) | 171.52 |
| Current Price | 186.83 |
| Bollinger Lower | 159.03 |
| 52-Week Low | 110.81 |
| ATR(14) | 6.77 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.61x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.55x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.48x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.06x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 178.01 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 175.29 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 176.65 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 170.72 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 170.72 – 176.65 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 191.01 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 162.43 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 159.03 – 184.0 | KC: 162.44 – 180.59
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 144.75
Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+32.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ABNB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 111.87B |
| P/E (TTM) | 42.56 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 12.00 |
| EPS | 4.39 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 18.9% |
| Profit Margin | 23.0% |
| ROE | 35.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 25.46 |
| Current Ratio | 1.73 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
186.83
Open
186.83
Day High
186.83
Day Low
2.08M
Volume (0.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)