Adobe Inc.
ADBE · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
40
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
45
Momentum
43
Fundamental
67
Macro
23
Liquidity
62
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 45.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 43.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 61.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 246.44 |
| Stop Loss | 228.30 (7.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 264.58 (+7.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 282.72 (+14.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 9.07 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 18.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 49.8 | -0.01 | |
| Momentum | 43.1 | -0.27 | |
| Quality | 61.3 | +0.45 | |
| Composite | 51.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.8 | 28.0 | -51% below |
| P/B Ratio | 8.2 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
349.07
vs
Market Price
246.44
Upside
+41.6%
| Margin of Safety | +29.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 31,021,824,111 |
| Terminal Value PV | 104,834,963,048 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 135,856,787,159 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 5,576,457,771 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 12.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
24.35%
Full Kelly
12.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
47.47
RSI(14)
0.2361
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-2.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (47d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -12.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 47.47 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.2361 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 252.24 / 249.47 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.4x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 362.71 |
| Bollinger Upper | 266.33 |
| SMA(200) | 249.47 |
| SMA(50) | 252.24 |
| SMA(20) | 249.76 |
| Current Price | 246.44 |
| Bollinger Lower | 233.18 |
| 52-Week Low | 190.12 |
| ATR(14) | 9.07 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.76x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 252.18 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 249.55 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 250.87 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 259.60 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 250.87 – 259.60 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 246.44 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 241.28 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 233.18 – 266.33 | KC: 236.24 – 263.27
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 241.79
Anchor: 2026-06-18 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ADBE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 95.91B |
| P/E (TTM) | 13.76 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.19 |
| EPS | 17.91 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.9% |
| Profit Margin | 28.0% |
| ROE | 61.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 57.69 |
| Current Ratio | 0.77 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.38 |
Trading Data
246.44
Open
246.44
Day High
246.44
Day Low
5.88M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)