Adobe Inc.

ADBE · Technology · · USD

266.51 USD

0.00 (-6.73%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 48

Momentum 65

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 58

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	48.1	10%
Momentum	65.0	5%
Fundamental	66.7	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	57.8	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	266.51
Stop Loss	244.09 (8.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	288.93 (+8.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	311.35 (+16.8%)

ATR(14)	11.21 (4.2%)
Risk per Share	22.42
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	42.7	-0.29
Momentum	65.0	+0.60
Quality	61.5	+0.46
Composite	56.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.2	28.0	-46% below
P/B Ratio	9.2	6.0	Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

337.94

Market Price

266.51

Upside

+26.8%

Margin of Safety	+21.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	30,754,924,362
Terminal Value PV	103,577,678,896
Total Enterprise Value	134,332,603,258

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,558,640,345
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

38.45%

Full Kelly

19.22%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.86

RSI(14)

8.8531

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+1.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (4d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+12.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.86	NEUTRAL
Macd	8.8531	BEARISH
Ma Cross	248.85 / 267.93	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.54x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	370.86
Bollinger Upper	295.85
SMA(200)	267.93
SMA(50)	248.85
SMA(20)	274.12
Current Price	266.51
Bollinger Lower	252.39
52-Week Low	190.12
ATR(14)	11.21

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	279.23	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	267.88	Base line
Senkou A	273.56	Leading span A
Senkou B	243.16	Leading span B
Cloud	243.16 – 273.56	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	266.51	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	250.41	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL