Analog Devices, Inc.

ADI · Technology · · USD

362.25 USD

+0.00 (1.61%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 65

Momentum 52

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 54

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	65.3	30%
Momentum	51.6	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	54.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	362.25
Stop Loss	339.79 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	384.71 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	407.17 (+12.4%)

ATR(14)	11.23 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	22.46
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	32.7	-0.69
Momentum	51.6	+0.07
Quality	48.5	-0.06
Composite	44.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	43.1	28.0	+54% above
P/B Ratio	5.2	6.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.2%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

261.81

Market Price

362.25

Upside

-27.7%

Margin of Safety	-38.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	25,018,231,567
Terminal Value PV	101,847,366,162
Total Enterprise Value	126,865,597,729

Assumptions

Base FCF	3,256,279,824
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.18%

Full Kelly

19.59%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

43.35

RSI(14)

-5.8731

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-14.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	No (53d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	43.35	NEUTRAL
Macd	-5.8731	BEARISH
Ma Cross	376.31 / 346.29	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.99x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	445.91
Bollinger Upper	393.14
SMA(200)	346.29
SMA(50)	376.31
SMA(20)	371.67
Current Price	362.25
Bollinger Lower	350.2
52-Week Low	223.47
ATR(14)	11.23

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	362.17	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	371.87	Base line
Senkou A	367.02	Leading span A
Senkou B	389.28	Leading span B
Cloud	367.02 – 389.28	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	362.25	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	366.29	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH