Analog Devices, Inc.

ADI · Technology · · USD

432.39 USD

+0.00 (3.04%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 80

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 94

Fundamental 78

Macro 72

Liquidity 57

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	80.0	20%
Trend & RS	97.6	30%
Momentum	94.0	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	71.9	20%
Liquidity	57.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	432.39
Stop Loss	408.71 (5.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	456.07 (+5.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	479.75 (+10.9%)

ATR(14)	11.84 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	23.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	19.7	-1.21
Momentum	94.0	+1.76
Quality	45.9	-0.16
Composite	53.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	78.8	28.0	+181% above
P/B Ratio	6.2	6.0	Inline
Dividend Yield	94.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

171.11

Market Price

432.39

Upside

-60.4%

Margin of Safety	-152.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	16,473,986,552
Terminal Value PV	67,064,378,080
Total Enterprise Value	83,538,364,632

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,144,192,721
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

53.91%

Full Kelly

26.95%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 84/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.1%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

73.74

RSI(14)

20.3264

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+21.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	-3.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	73.74	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	20.3264	BULLISH
Ma Cross	352.92 / 287.21	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.99x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	435.72
Bollinger Upper	436.33
SMA(200)	287.21
SMA(50)	352.92
SMA(20)	397.44
Current Price	432.39
Bollinger Lower	358.55
52-Week Low	206.00
ATR(14)	11.84

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	1.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	1.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	413.80	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	388.52	Base line
Senkou A	401.16	Leading span A
Senkou B	368.14	Leading span B
Cloud	368.14 – 401.16	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	432.39	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	346.21	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH