Analog Devices, Inc.
ADI · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
44
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
63
Momentum
37
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
92
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 62.7 | 20% |
| Momentum | 37.0 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 92.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 361.01 |
| Stop Loss | 324.45 (10.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 397.57 (+10.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 434.13 (+20.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 18.28 (5.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 36.56 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 33.1 | -0.68 | |
| Momentum | 33.6 | -0.66 | |
| Quality | 48.5 | -0.06 | |
| Composite | 38.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 42.9 | 28.0 | +53% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.2 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
262.44
vs
Market Price
361.01
Upside
-27.3%
| Margin of Safety | -37.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 25,077,800,322 |
| Terminal Value PV | 102,089,866,149 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 127,167,666,471 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,264,033,071 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
27.88%
Full Kelly
13.94%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
34.99
RSI(14)
1.7426
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
81
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-2.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (5d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -12.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 34.99 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.7426 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 390.68 / 372.69 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.87x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 445.91 |
| Bollinger Upper | 438.41 |
| SMA(200) | 372.69 |
| SMA(50) | 390.68 |
| SMA(20) | 405.81 |
| Current Price | 361.01 |
| Bollinger Lower | 373.21 |
| 52-Week Low | 223.47 |
| ATR(14) | 18.28 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
62%
Upthrust (potential)
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 1.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.87x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 396.93 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 396.93 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 396.93 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 390.86 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 390.86 – 396.93 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 361.01 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 404.60 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 373.21 – 438.41 | KC: 378.97 – 432.64
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 353.27
Anchor: 2025-11-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ADI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 174.93B |
| P/E (TTM) | 42.88 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.21 |
| EPS | 8.42 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 39.6% |
| Profit Margin | 29.8% |
| ROE | 12.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 27.31 |
| Current Ratio | 1.25 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.26 |
Trading Data
361.01
Open
361.01
Day High
361.01
Day Low
13.07M
Volume (3.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)