Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
ADP · Technology · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
75
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
94
Momentum
91
Fundamental
56
Macro
24
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 93.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 90.8 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 67.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 307.14 |
| Stop Loss | 292.38 (4.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 321.90 (+4.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 336.66 (+9.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.38 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 14.76 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25.3 | -0.99 | |
| Momentum | 82.5 | +1.30 | |
| Quality | 58.6 | +0.34 | |
| Composite | 55.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 27.2 | 28.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 23.9 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
166.00
vs
Market Price
307.14
Upside
-46.0%
| Margin of Safety | -85.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 16,439,326,925 |
| Terminal Value PV | 49,089,268,248 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 65,528,595,173 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,562,309,260 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 6.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
48.91%
Full Kelly
24.46%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
66.5
RSI(14)
7.4936
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
84
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+18.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 66.5 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 7.4936 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 278.45 / 238.95 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.4x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 310.98 |
| Bollinger Upper | 313.05 |
| SMA(200) | 238.95 |
| SMA(50) | 278.45 |
| SMA(20) | 291.34 |
| Current Price | 307.14 |
| Bollinger Lower | 269.63 |
| 52-Week Low | 188.16 |
| ATR(14) | 7.38 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
56%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.54x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.57x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 296.86 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 283.47 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 290.16 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 283.47 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 283.47 – 290.16 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 307.14 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 263.96 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 269.63 – 313.05 | KC: 280.47 – 302.21
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 244.01
Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+25.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ADP
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 121.25B |
| P/E (TTM) | 27.23 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 23.86 |
| EPS | 11.28 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 6.1% |
| Profit Margin | 20.3% |
| ROE | 78.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 109.76 |
| Current Ratio | 1.03 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.79 |
Trading Data
307.14
Open
307.14
Day High
307.14
Day Low
3.21M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)