American Electric Power Company, Inc.

AEP · Utilities · · USD

124.50 USD

0.00 (-0.17%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 48

Momentum 46

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	48.4	20%
Momentum	45.6	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	47.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	124.50
Stop Loss	120.22 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	128.78 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	133.06 (+6.9%)

ATR(14)	2.14 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	4.28
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	73.1	+0.92
Momentum	45.6	-0.18
Quality	29.3	-0.83
Composite	49.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	21.6	16.0	+35% above
P/B Ratio	2.1	1.8	Above
Dividend Yield	3.0%	3.5%	Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

88.04

Market Price

124.50

Upside

-29.3%

Margin of Safety	-41.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,869,140,688
Terminal Value PV	36,059,973,985
Total Enterprise Value	47,929,114,673

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,508,583,155
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

33.08%

Full Kelly

16.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 51/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

47.44

RSI(14)

-1.1972

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-7.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Utilities)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-1.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	47.44	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.1972	BULLISH
Ma Cross	128.68 / 125.25	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.0x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	140.58
Bollinger Upper	127.22
SMA(200)	125.25
SMA(50)	128.68
SMA(20)	123.96
Current Price	124.50
Bollinger Lower	120.69
52-Week Low	105.70
ATR(14)	2.14

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.32x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	123.50	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	124.34	Base line
Senkou A	123.92	Leading span A
Senkou B	129.79	Leading span B
Cloud	123.92 – 129.79	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	124.50	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	126.88	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL