American International Group, Inc.
AIG · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
64
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
86
Momentum
55
Fundamental (0%)
62
Macro
24
Liquidity
52
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 85.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 55.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 62.5 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 52.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 79.03 |
| Stop Loss | 75.56 (4.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 82.48 (+4.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 85.94 (+8.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.73 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.46 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 88.7 | +1.55 | |
| Momentum | 55.1 | +0.20 | |
| Quality | 27.7 | -0.89 | |
| Composite | 57.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.92
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.2 | 18.0 | -27% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.1 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
137.39
vs
Market Price
80.93
Upside
+69.8%
| Margin of Safety | +41.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 15,547,819,085 |
| Terminal Value PV | 55,678,938,135 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 71,226,757,220 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,542,424,258 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 16.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
42.28%
Full Kelly
21.14%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
47.94
RSI(14)
0.9973
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+7.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 4d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 47.94 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.9973 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 77.37 / 76.29 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 87.29 |
| Bollinger Upper | 83.72 |
| SMA(200) | 76.29 |
| SMA(50) | 77.37 |
| SMA(20) | 80.49 |
| Current Price | 80.93 |
| Bollinger Lower | 77.25 |
| 52-Week Low | 71.25 |
| ATR(14) | 1.73 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.58x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.46x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 80.65 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 78.71 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 79.68 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 77.85 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 77.85 – 79.68 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 79.03 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 74.93 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 77.25 – 83.72 | KC: 78.01 – 82.97
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 27 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 76.16
Anchor: 2026-01-23 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AIG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 41.96B |
| P/E (TTM) | 13.20 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.08 |
| EPS | 6.13 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 16.4% |
| Profit Margin | 11.8% |
| ROE | 8.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 26.75 |
| Current Ratio | 0.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.47 |
Trading Data
80.93
Open
80.93
Day High
80.93
Day Low
4.21M
Volume (1.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)