American International Group, Inc.

AIG · Financial Services · · USD

76.21 USD

0.00 (-0.85%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 43

Momentum 50

Fundamental 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	42.8	30%
Momentum	50.4	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	46.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	76.21
Stop Loss	73.53 (3.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	78.89 (+3.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	81.57 (+7.0%)

ATR(14)	1.34 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	2.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.6	+1.50
Momentum	50.4	+0.02
Quality	26.6	-0.94
Composite	54.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	13.9	18.0	-23% below
P/B Ratio	1.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	2.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

67.65

Market Price

76.21

Upside

-11.2%

Margin of Safety	-12.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	9,433,787,148
Terminal Value PV	25,939,547,691
Total Enterprise Value	35,373,334,839

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,292,363,692
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

33.37%

Full Kelly

16.69%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 51/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.42

RSI(14)

-0.4124

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-3.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-6.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.42	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.4124	BULLISH
Ma Cross	77.88 / 76.79	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.0x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	87.29
Bollinger Upper	77.58
SMA(200)	76.79
SMA(50)	77.88
SMA(20)	76.45
Current Price	76.21
Bollinger Lower	75.31
52-Week Low	71.25
ATR(14)	1.34

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	76.51	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	78.05	Base line
Senkou A	77.28	Leading span A
Senkou B	78.36	Leading span B
Cloud	77.28 – 78.36	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	76.21	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	78.58	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH