Albemarle Corporation
ALB · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
26
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
28
Momentum
16
Fundamental (0%)
86
Macro
24
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 27.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 16.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 86.0 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 66.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 98.37 |
| Stop Loss | 90.53 (8.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 106.21 (+8.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 114.05 (+15.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.92 (4.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.84 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 75.4 | +1.01 | |
| Momentum | 14.6 | -1.42 | |
| Quality | 43.0 | -0.28 | |
| Composite | 44.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.71
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 23.7 | 18.0 | +32% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
102.17
vs
Market Price
98.37
Upside
+3.9%
| Margin of Safety | +3.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,555,112,627 |
| Terminal Value PV | 9,502,033,577 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 12,057,146,204 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 391,792,699 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 18.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
11.85%
Full Kelly
5.93%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
49.05
RSI(14)
-3.74
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
32
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-19.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (53d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -23.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 49.05 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -3.74 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 108.19 / 147.68 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.67x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 221.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 101.53 |
| SMA(200) | 147.68 |
| SMA(50) | 108.19 |
| SMA(20) | 95.39 |
| Current Price | 98.37 |
| Bollinger Lower | 89.26 |
| 52-Week Low | 89.77 |
| ATR(14) | 3.92 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.24x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 96.03 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 98.68 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 97.35 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 115.26 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 97.35 – 115.26 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 98.37 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 105.03 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 89.26 – 101.53 | KC: 89.85 – 100.93
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 8 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 8 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 143.33
Anchor: 2025-11-05 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-31.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ALB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 11.61B |
| P/E (TTM) | 23.70 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.40 |
| EPS | 4.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 18.8% |
| Profit Margin | 11.1% |
| ROE | 7.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 18.47 |
| Current Ratio | 2.34 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.36 |
Trading Data
98.37
Open
98.37
Day High
98.37
Day Low
4.52M
Volume (1.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)