Albemarle Corporation

ALB · Basic Materials · · USD

126.28 USD

0.00 (-4.45%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 38

Momentum 21

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	38.0	30%
Momentum	20.6	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	56.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	126.28
Stop Loss	114.54 (9.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	138.02 (+9.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	149.76 (+18.6%)

ATR(14)	5.87 (4.7%)
Risk per Share	11.74
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	42.9	-0.28
Momentum	20.6	-1.18
Quality	32.7	-0.69
Composite	32.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	467.7	18.0	+2498% above
P/B Ratio	1.9	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	1.3%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

8.42

Market Price

126.28

Upside

-93.3%

Margin of Safety	-1400.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	195,834,518
Terminal Value PV	797,227,810
Total Enterprise Value	993,062,328

Assumptions

Base FCF	25,489,091
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

23.09%

Full Kelly

11.55%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.09

RSI(14)

1.027

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-23.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (58d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-18.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.09	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.027	BEARISH
Ma Cross	127.98 / 156.09	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.6x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	221.00
Bollinger Upper	142.32
SMA(200)	156.09
SMA(50)	127.98
SMA(20)	134.15
Current Price	126.28
Bollinger Lower	125.98
52-Week Low	71.25
ATR(14)	5.87

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.6x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	131.84	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	129.82	Base line
Senkou A	130.83	Leading span A
Senkou B	131.03	Leading span B
Cloud	130.83 – 131.03	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	126.28	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	117.64	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL