American Tower Corporation

AMT · Real Estate · · USD

175.85 USD

0.00 (-1.07%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 57

Momentum 46

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	57.0	10%
Momentum	46.0	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	47.4	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	175.85
Stop Loss	167.41 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	184.29 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	192.73 (+9.6%)

ATR(14)	4.22 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	8.44
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	28.6	-0.85
Momentum	46.0	-0.16
Quality	56.7	+0.27
Composite	43.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	24.2	18.0	+35% above
P/B Ratio	22.0	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.0%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

100.67

Market Price

175.85

Upside

-42.8%

Margin of Safety	-74.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	12,011,829,634
Terminal Value PV	34,896,891,369
Total Enterprise Value	46,908,721,003

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,706,296,115
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

32.43%

Full Kelly

16.21%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

52.86

RSI(14)

1.0997

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-13.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-6.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	52.86	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.0997	BEARISH
Ma Cross	171.12 / 175.35	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.0x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	199.13
Bollinger Upper	179.95
SMA(200)	175.35
SMA(50)	171.12
SMA(20)	174.54
Current Price	175.85
Bollinger Lower	169.12
52-Week Low	160.06
ATR(14)	4.22

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.48x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	176.35	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	171.74	Base line
Senkou A	174.05	Leading span A
Senkou B	170.52	Leading span B
Cloud	170.52 – 174.05	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	175.85	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	173.36	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH