Broadcom Inc.

AVGO · Technology · · USD

357.89 USD

+0.00 (0.21%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 34

Momentum 47

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 74

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	33.9	30%
Momentum	47.4	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	73.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	357.90
Stop Loss	331.84 (7.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	383.96 (+7.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	410.02 (+14.6%)

ATR(14)	13.03 (3.6%)
Risk per Share	26.06
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	4.8	-1.81
Momentum	47.4	-0.10
Quality	85.8	+1.43
Composite	46.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	45.6	28.0	+63% above
P/B Ratio	17.1	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	73.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

244.36

Market Price

357.89

Upside

-31.7%

Margin of Safety	-46.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	229,259,347,829
Terminal Value PV	933,297,810,558
Total Enterprise Value	1,162,557,158,387

Assumptions

Base FCF	29,839,542,684
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

29.97%

Full Kelly

14.98%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 47/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

38.05

RSI(14)

-8.7946

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-11.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	No (20d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	38.05	NEUTRAL
Macd	-8.7946	BEARISH
Ma Cross	383.66 / 369.03	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.4x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	495.00
Bollinger Upper	424.09
SMA(200)	369.03
SMA(50)	383.66
SMA(20)	378.32
Current Price	357.89
Bollinger Lower	332.56
52-Week Low	289.96
ATR(14)	13.03

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Stopping Volume	2.57x	High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-09-04	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	359.46	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	387.53	Base line
Senkou A	373.50	Leading span A
Senkou B	387.53	Leading span B
Cloud	373.50 – 387.53	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	357.90	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	389.28	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH