Broadcom Inc.
AVGO · Technology · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
34
/ 100
Technical
20
Trend & RS
39
Momentum
5
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
95
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 20.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 39.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 4.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 94.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 291.53 |
| Stop Loss | 263.11 (9.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 319.95 (+9.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 348.37 (+19.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 14.21 (4.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 28.42 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 14.2 | -1.43 | |
| Momentum | 4.4 | -1.82 | |
| Quality | 85.8 | +1.43 | |
| Composite | 34.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 37.2 | 28.0 | +33% above |
| P/B Ratio | 14.0 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 89.0% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
244.05
vs
Market Price
291.53
Upside
-16.3%
| Margin of Safety | -19.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 229,739,344,494 |
| Terminal Value PV | 935,251,841,399 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,164,991,185,893 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 29,902,017,262 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
19.2%
Full Kelly
9.6%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
31.48
RSI(14)
-9.9667
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-26.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -37.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 31.48 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -9.9667 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 349.23 / 366.25 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.32x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 495.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 367.52 |
| SMA(200) | 366.25 |
| SMA(50) | 349.23 |
| SMA(20) | 335.52 |
| Current Price | 291.53 |
| Bollinger Lower | 303.52 |
| 52-Week Low | 289.96 |
| ATR(14) | 14.21 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.58x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.32x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 321.26 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 335.48 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 328.37 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 335.48 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 328.37 – 335.48 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 291.53 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 343.64 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 303.52 – 367.52 | KC: 315.38 – 355.65
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 378.39
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-22.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AVGO
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1391.66B |
| P/E (TTM) | 37.23 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 13.96 |
| EPS | 7.83 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 85.5% |
| Profit Margin | 42.9% |
| ROE | 44.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 59.60 |
| Current Ratio | 2.50 |
| Dividend Yield | 89.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.51 |
Trading Data
291.53
Open
291.53
Day High
291.53
Day Low
53.37M
Volume (2.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)