Broadcom Inc.

AVGO · Technology · · USD

416.79 USD

0.00 (-0.60%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 12:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 96

Momentum 79

Fundamental 78

Macro 72

Liquidity 58

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	95.6	30%
Momentum	78.7	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	71.8	20%
Liquidity	58.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	416.79
Stop Loss	387.31 (7.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	446.27 (+7.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	475.75 (+14.2%)

ATR(14)	14.74 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	29.48
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	78.7	+1.15
Quality	73.3	+0.93
Composite	50.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	81.2	28.0	+190% above
P/B Ratio	24.7	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	62.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

159.89

Market Price

416.79

Upside

-61.6%

Margin of Safety	-160.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	149,290,378,975
Terminal Value PV	607,750,066,259
Total Enterprise Value	757,040,445,234

Assumptions

Base FCF	19,431,079,596
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

51.79%

Full Kelly

25.89%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 80/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.8%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

58.36

RSI(14)

16.3008

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+14.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	No (15d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-9.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	58.36	NEUTRAL
Macd	16.3008	BEARISH
Ma Cross	364.93 / 344.49	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.88x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	437.68
Bollinger Upper	435.83
SMA(200)	344.49
SMA(50)	364.93
SMA(20)	415.54
Current Price	416.79
Bollinger Lower	395.24
52-Week Low	221.60
ATR(14)	14.74

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	421.24	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	390.11	Base line
Senkou A	405.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	363.82	Leading span B
Cloud	363.82 – 405.67	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	416.79	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	350.63	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH