Best Buy Co., Inc.
BBY · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
77
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
97
Momentum
86
Fundamental
78
Macro
24
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 96.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 86.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 48.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 99.40 |
| Stop Loss | 92.06 (7.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 106.74 (+7.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 114.08 (+14.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.67 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.34 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 62.3 | +0.49 | |
| Momentum | 86.2 | +1.45 | |
| Quality | 47.9 | -0.08 | |
| Composite | 65.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.71
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.5 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 6.6 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
79.50
vs
Market Price
99.40
Upside
-20.0%
| Margin of Safety | -25.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,340,208,794 |
| Terminal Value PV | 12,333,804,070 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 16,674,012,864 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,008,370,772 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
49.77%
Full Kelly
24.89%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
58.46
RSI(14)
2.444
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
91
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+27.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +21.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 58.46 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.444 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 91.0 / 74.6 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.17x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 103.54 |
| Bollinger Upper | 104.01 |
| SMA(200) | 74.6 |
| SMA(50) | 91.0 |
| SMA(20) | 94.85 |
| Current Price | 99.40 |
| Bollinger Lower | 85.68 |
| 52-Week Low | 55.10 |
| ATR(14) | 3.67 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.45x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 98.36 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 93.59 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 95.98 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 89.72 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 89.72 – 95.98 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 99.40 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 87.70 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 85.68 – 104.01 | KC: 89.52 – 100.17
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 6 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 81.06
Anchor: 2026-05-13 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+22.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/BBY
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 20.85B |
| P/E (TTM) | 16.54 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 6.57 |
| EPS | 6.01 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.6% |
| Profit Margin | 3.0% |
| ROE | 43.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 130.10 |
| Current Ratio | 1.12 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.21 |
Trading Data
99.40
Open
99.40
Day High
99.40
Day Low
3.27M
Volume (1.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)