Best Buy Co., Inc.

BBY · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

90.27 USD

+0.00 (3.18%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 85

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 49

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	93.1	10%
Momentum	84.8	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	49.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	90.27
Stop Loss	83.37 (7.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	97.17 (+7.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	104.07 (+15.3%)

ATR(14)	3.45 (3.8%)
Risk per Share	6.90
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	60.1	+0.40
Momentum	84.8	+1.39
Quality	47.9	-0.08
Composite	64.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.0	18.0	-17% below
P/B Ratio	6.0	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.2%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

79.50

Market Price

90.27

Upside

-11.9%

Margin of Safety	-13.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	4,361,718,809
Terminal Value PV	12,394,930,236
Total Enterprise Value	16,756,649,045

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,013,368,244
Growth Rate (5yr)	3.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.97%

Full Kelly

19.98%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.35

RSI(14)

0.7658

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+23.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+23.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.35	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.7658	BULLISH
Ma Cross	84.02 / 70.31	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.97x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	91.27
Bollinger Upper	90.52
SMA(200)	70.31
SMA(50)	84.02
SMA(20)	85.39
Current Price	90.27
Bollinger Lower	80.26
52-Week Low	55.10
ATR(14)	3.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.42x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	83.76	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	83.76	Base line
Senkou A	83.76	Leading span A
Senkou B	83.01	Leading span B
Cloud	83.01 – 83.76	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	90.27	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	86.26	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH