Becton, Dickinson and Company
BDX · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
77
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
95
Momentum
76
Fundamental
67
Macro
64
Liquidity
46
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 95.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 76.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 45.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 184.74 |
| Stop Loss | 176.48 (4.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 193.00 (+4.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 201.26 (+8.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.13 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.26 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 61.8 | +0.47 | |
| Momentum | 76.1 | +1.04 | |
| Quality | 24.0 | -1.04 | |
| Composite | 54.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.0 | 22.0 | +45% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% | 1.5% | Above avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
82.57
vs
Market Price
184.74
Upside
-55.3%
| Margin of Safety | -123.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 5,700,408,806 |
| Terminal Value PV | 16,791,325,550 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 22,491,734,356 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,259,516,636 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
49.71%
Full Kelly
24.86%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
57.51
RSI(14)
5.0077
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
87
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+18.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (10d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +15.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.51 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 5.0077 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 170.0 / 158.61 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.88x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 193.07 |
| Bollinger Upper | 193.54 |
| SMA(200) | 158.61 |
| SMA(50) | 170.0 |
| SMA(20) | 186.18 |
| Current Price | 184.74 |
| Bollinger Lower | 178.82 |
| 52-Week Low | 127.59 |
| ATR(14) | 4.13 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.61x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 187.91 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 177.76 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 182.83 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 168.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 168.84 – 182.83 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 184.74 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 165.62 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 178.82 – 193.54 | KC: 180.1 – 192.25
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 156.73
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+17.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 50.32B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.96 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.06 |
| EPS | 5.78 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.4% |
| Profit Margin | 4.2% |
| ROE | 6.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 68.84 |
| Current Ratio | 0.86 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.28 |
Trading Data
184.74
Open
184.74
Day High
184.74
Day Low
1.44M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)