Becton, Dickinson and Company
BDX · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
70
/ 100
Technical
67
Trend & RS
95
Momentum
96
Fundamental
44
Macro
24
Liquidity
82
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 66.7 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 95.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 96.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 81.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 213.55 |
| Stop Loss | 204.41 (4.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 222.69 (+4.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 231.83 (+8.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.57 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 9.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 48.9 | -0.05 | |
| Momentum | 87.3 | +1.49 | |
| Quality | 24.6 | -1.02 | |
| Composite | 53.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 42.2 | 22.0 | +92% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.4 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% | 1.5% | Above avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
62.46
vs
Market Price
213.55
Upside
-70.7%
| Margin of Safety | -241.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,537,630,669 |
| Terminal Value PV | 12,476,864,842 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,014,495,511 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,102,621,845 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
45.44%
Full Kelly
22.72%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
78.25
RSI(14)
5.7131
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
87
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+26.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 78.25 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 5.7131 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 187.56 / 165.39 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.16x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 214.78 |
| Bollinger Upper | 209.63 |
| SMA(200) | 165.39 |
| SMA(50) | 187.56 |
| SMA(20) | 195.75 |
| Current Price | 213.55 |
| Bollinger Lower | 181.87 |
| 52-Week Low | 137.36 |
| ATR(14) | 4.57 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
64%
Buying Climax
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 3.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.58x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 2.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 204.29 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 195.25 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 199.77 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 194.99 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 194.99 – 199.77 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 213.55 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 178.07 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 181.87 – 209.63 | KC: 189.2 – 202.29
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 159.96
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+33.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/BDX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 58.17B |
| P/E (TTM) | 42.20 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.36 |
| EPS | 5.06 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -10.5% |
| Profit Margin | 5.9% |
| ROE | 5.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 66.22 |
| Current Ratio | 0.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.28 |
Trading Data
213.55
Open
213.55
Day High
213.55
Day Low
3.99M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)