Baidu, Inc.

BIDU · Communication Services · · USD

150.50 USD

+0.00 (7.55%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 12:51 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 78

Momentum 92

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 72

Liquidity 81

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	78.0	20%
Momentum	92.2	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	71.8	15%
Liquidity	81.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	150.50
Stop Loss	137.78 (8.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	163.22 (+8.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	175.94 (+16.9%)

ATR(14)	6.36 (4.2%)
Risk per Share	12.72
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	45.6	-0.18
Momentum	83.8	+1.35
Quality	29.5	-0.82
Composite	53.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	87.0	18.0	+383% above
P/B Ratio	1.3	3.0	Below

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

21.36

Market Price

150.50

Upside

-85.8%

Margin of Safety	-604.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,937,939,413
Terminal Value PV	5,328,641,724
Total Enterprise Value	7,266,581,137

Assumptions

Base FCF	470,909,707
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.07%

Full Kelly

22.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

70.35

RSI(14)

6.5651

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-3.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 62d since high
Sector Outperformance	+4.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	70.35	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	6.5651	BULLISH
Ma Cross	121.87 / 123.03	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	1.98x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	165.30
Bollinger Upper	148.18
SMA(200)	123.03
SMA(50)	121.87
SMA(20)	130.73
Current Price	150.50
Bollinger Lower	113.28
52-Week Low	81.17
ATR(14)	6.36

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Upthrust	2.04x	High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-05-11	Normal	1.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	1.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	1.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	138.88	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	129.94	Base line
Senkou A	134.41	Leading span A
Senkou B	129.07	Leading span B
Cloud	129.07 – 134.41	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	150.50	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	113.51	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH