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Citigroup Inc.

C · Financial Services · · USD
137.72 USD
0.00 (-0.30%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

82
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 79
Momentum 70
Fundamental (0%) 32
Macro 64
Liquidity 48
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 40%
Trend & RS 79.1 20%
Momentum 70.3 20%
Fundamental 31.6 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 48.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 137.72
Stop Loss 131.80 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 143.64 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 149.56 (+8.6%)
ATR(14) 2.96 (2.1%)
Risk per Share 5.92
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 85.4 +1.42
Momentum 70.3 +0.81
Quality 50.4 +0.01
Composite 68.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 0.38 — Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 14.8 18.0 -18% below
P/B Ratio 1.2 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 1.9% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
200.71
vs
Market Price
137.72
Upside
+45.7%
Margin of Safety +31.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)74,332,134,328
Terminal Value PV262,344,561,434
Total Enterprise Value336,676,695,762

Assumptions

Base FCF12,453,290,677
Growth Rate (5yr)15.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
52.56%
Full Kelly
26.28%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
58.11
RSI(14)
0.2088
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

72
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-0.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance -3.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 58.11 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.2088 BULLISH
Ma Cross 134.94 / 122.19 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.69x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High147.96
Bollinger Upper140.64
SMA(200)122.19
SMA(50)134.94
SMA(20)134.77
Current Price137.72
Bollinger Lower128.91
52-Week Low93.66
ATR(14)2.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.53x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.69x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 134.38 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 135.25 Base line
Senkou A 134.81 Leading span A
Senkou B 136.59 Leading span B
Cloud 134.81 – 136.59 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 137.72 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 131.78 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 128.91 – 140.64  |  KC: 130.83 – 138.72

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish MACD 16
Regular Bullish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 118.27 Anchor: 2025-10-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +16.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/C

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap231.02B
P/E (TTM)14.84
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.20
EPS9.28

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth15.5%
Profit Margin21.8%
ROE8.5%
Debt/EquityN/A
Current RatioN/A
Dividend Yield1.9%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.10

Trading Data

137.72
Open
137.72
Day High
137.72
Day Low
5.70M
Volume (0.5x avg)

Recent News (8)

C Nears China Brokerage License: Can Onshore Expansion Boost Growth?
Zacks · 2026-09-07
Citi backs AstraZeneca sentiment boost after Etcamah wins accelerated FDA approval
Proactive · 2026-09-07
Citigroup seeks China brokerage licence – report
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Hammerson (LSE:HMSO) Stock Gets Fair Value Bump As Analysts Lift Targets
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-05
Citigroup (C) Stock May Be 31% Undervalued After Record Revenue Quarter
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-05
A Novartis Heart Drug Trial Stumbles. Can a Rare-Disease Treatment Lift Shares?
Barrons.com · 2026-09-05
Market Chatter: Anthropic May Give Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Key Roles in $2 Trillion IPO
MT Newswires · 2026-09-04

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —