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Citigroup Inc.

C · Financial Services · · USD
140.57 USD
+0.00 (0.72%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

75
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 97
Momentum 69
Fundamental (0%) 56
Macro 65
Liquidity 44
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 40%
Trend & RS 96.8 20%
Momentum 68.8 20%
Fundamental 55.6 0%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 43.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 140.77
Stop Loss 134.03 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 147.51 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 154.25 (+9.6%)
ATR(14) 3.37 (2.4%)
Risk per Share 6.74
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 82.3 +1.29
Momentum 68.8 +0.75
Quality 48.0 -0.08
Composite 66.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 17.4 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 1.2 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 1.7% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
177.99
vs
Market Price
140.57
Upside
+26.6%
Margin of Safety +21.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)66,684,054,360
Terminal Value PV236,887,154,721
Total Enterprise Value303,571,209,081

Assumptions

Base FCF11,052,138,350
Growth Rate (5yr)15.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
48.74%
Full Kelly
24.37%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
54.75
RSI(14)
1.9415
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

91
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+2.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High No (12d since high)
Sector Outperformance +4.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 54.75 NEUTRAL
Macd 1.9415 BEARISH
Ma Cross 133.12 / 115.57 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.1x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High147.96
Bollinger Upper146.42
SMA(200)115.57
SMA(50)133.12
SMA(20)141.74
Current Price140.57
Bollinger Lower137.06
52-Week Low85.62
ATR(14)3.37

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence
100%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.74x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.75x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.1x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 140.93 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 138.12 Base line
Senkou A 139.52 Leading span A
Senkou B 133.86 Leading span B
Cloud 133.86 – 139.52 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 140.77 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 129.93 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 1 bars Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 137.06 – 146.42  |  KC: 136.61 – 146.87

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 110.25 Anchor: 2025-07-11 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +27.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/C

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap239.76B
P/E (TTM)17.35
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.25
EPS8.10

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth15.9%
Profit Margin20.4%
ROE7.6%
Debt/EquityN/A
Current RatioN/A
Dividend Yield1.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.09

Trading Data

140.57
Open
140.57
Day High
140.57
Day Low
1.17M
Volume (0.1x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Barrons.com · 2026-07-10
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Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-10
PDD Holdings (PDD) On Citi Backing And A Narrative That Still Looks Undervalued
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-09

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —