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Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · Industrials · · USD
67.81 USD
+0.00 (1.60%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 16:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

72
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 78
Momentum 68
Fundamental 56
Macro 78
Liquidity 47
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 20%
Trend & RS 78.3 30%
Momentum 68.3 15%
Fundamental 55.6 10%
Macro 78.4 20%
Liquidity 46.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 67.81
Stop Loss 63.05 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 72.57 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 77.33 (+14.0%)
ATR(14) 2.38 (3.5%)
Risk per Share 4.76
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 35.9 -0.56
Momentum 68.3 +0.73
Quality 29.2 -0.83
Composite 44.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 45.2 18.0 +151% above
P/B Ratio 4.2 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.4% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
18.84
vs
Market Price
67.81
Upside
-72.2%
Margin of Safety -259.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)4,148,071,311
Terminal Value PV11,501,135,235
Total Enterprise Value15,649,206,546

Assumptions

Base FCF996,696,442
Growth Rate (5yr)2.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
47.11%
Full Kelly
23.55%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
44.99
RSI(14)
0.4507
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

70
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+5.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance +10.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 44.99 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.4507 BEARISH
Ma Cross 67.66 / 59.98 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.85x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High81.09
Bollinger Upper75.68
SMA(200)59.98
SMA(50)67.66
SMA(20)70.98
Current Price67.81
Bollinger Lower66.29
52-Week Low50.24
ATR(14)2.38

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 1.08x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.89x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.19x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 70.45 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 71.19 Base line
Senkou A 70.82 Leading span A
Senkou B 68.52 Leading span B
Cloud 68.52 – 70.82 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 67.81 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 66.42 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 66.29 – 75.68  |  KC: 67.37 – 74.6

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish MACD 10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 62.18 Anchor: 2026-01-06 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +9.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/CARR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap56.32B
P/E (TTM)45.21
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.19
EPS1.50

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth2.4%
Profit Margin6.0%
ROE9.9%
Debt/Equity91.10
Current Ratio1.05
Dividend Yield1.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.31

Trading Data

67.81
Open
67.81
Day High
67.81
Day Low
4.68M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —