Carrier Global Corporation
CARR · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
28
/ 100
Technical
20
Trend & RS
29
Momentum
28
Fundamental
41
Macro
22
Liquidity
58
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 20.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 28.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 28.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 41.2 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 57.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 53.21 |
| Stop Loss | 49.65 (6.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 56.77 (+6.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 60.33 (+13.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.78 (3.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.56 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.5 | +0.14 | |
| Momentum | 28.0 | -0.88 | |
| Quality | 6.1 | -1.75 | |
| Composite | 29.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.56
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 4.3 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
14.39%
Full Kelly
7.2%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
39.04
RSI(14)
-0.3483
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
34
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-11.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (61d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 39.04 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.3483 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 55.81 / 61.31 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.24x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 76.76 |
| Bollinger Upper | 57.34 |
| SMA(200) | 61.31 |
| SMA(50) | 55.81 |
| SMA(20) | 55.33 |
| Current Price | 53.21 |
| Bollinger Lower | 53.32 |
| 52-Week Low | 50.24 |
| ATR(14) | 1.78 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.61x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.24x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 55.25 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 55.25 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 55.25 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 56.75 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 55.25 – 56.75 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 53.21 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 54.98 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
23 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 53.32 – 57.34 | KC: 52.82 – 57.84
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 5 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 8 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 60.68
Anchor: 2026-01-06 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-12.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CARR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 43.53B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.33 |
| EPS | -2.21 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.3% |
| Profit Margin | -7.9% |
| ROE | -13.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 113.96 |
| Current Ratio | 1.00 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.33 |
Trading Data
53.21
Open
53.21
Day High
53.21
Day Low
7.54M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)