Chubb Limited

CB · Financial Services · · USD

343.60 USD

0.00 (-1.21%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 19:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 80

Momentum 65

Fundamental 70

Macro 71

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	79.9	10%
Momentum	65.1	5%
Fundamental	70.2	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	42.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	343.44
Stop Loss	328.49 (4.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	358.40 (+4.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	373.37 (+8.7%)

ATR(14)	7.48 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	14.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	79.5	+1.18
Momentum	65.1	+0.60
Quality	36.0	-0.56
Composite	60.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.69 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.2	18.0	-32% below
P/B Ratio	1.8	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	1.2%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

493.75

Market Price

343.60

Upside

+43.7%

Margin of Safety	+30.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	45,345,256,228
Terminal Value PV	146,160,660,035
Total Enterprise Value	191,505,916,263

Assumptions

Base FCF	8,774,947,038
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

44.83%

Full Kelly

22.42%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

54.21

RSI(14)

7.4811

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-7.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-5.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	54.21	NEUTRAL
Macd	7.4811	BULLISH
Ma Cross	328.44 / 311.89	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.38x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	365.29
Bollinger Upper	364.23
SMA(200)	311.89
SMA(50)	328.44
SMA(20)	339.3
Current Price	343.60
Bollinger Lower	314.38
52-Week Low	264.10
ATR(14)	7.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

100%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.32x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.38x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	352.24	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	337.97	Base line
Senkou A	345.11	Leading span A
Senkou B	336.47	Leading span B
Cloud	336.47 – 345.11	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	343.44	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	311.78	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL