Chubb Limited

CB · Financial Services · · USD

344.18 USD

0.00 (-1.04%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 80

Momentum 66

Fundamental 67

Macro 65

Liquidity 41

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	79.9	30%
Momentum	66.1	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	65.2	20%
Liquidity	41.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	345.36
Stop Loss	330.39 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	360.31 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	375.27 (+8.7%)

ATR(14)	7.48 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	14.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	85.1	+1.41
Momentum	66.1	+0.64
Quality	36.0	-0.56
Composite	62.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.2	18.0	-32% below
P/B Ratio	1.8	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	1.2%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

493.75

Market Price

344.18

Upside

+43.5%

Margin of Safety	+30.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	45,345,253,777
Terminal Value PV	146,160,652,143
Total Enterprise Value	191,505,905,920

Assumptions

Base FCF	8,774,946,564
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

49.09%

Full Kelly

24.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.88

RSI(14)

7.6334

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-6.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.88	NEUTRAL
Macd	7.6334	BULLISH
Ma Cross	328.48 / 311.9	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.19x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	365.29
Bollinger Upper	364.41
SMA(200)	311.9
SMA(50)	328.48
SMA(20)	339.4
Current Price	344.18
Bollinger Lower	314.39
52-Week Low	264.10
ATR(14)	7.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

100%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	352.24	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	337.97	Base line
Senkou A	345.11	Leading span A
Senkou B	336.47	Leading span B
Cloud	336.47 – 345.11	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	345.36	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	311.78	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH