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Chubb Limited

CB · Financial Services · · USD
341.59 USD
0.00 (-1.91%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

66
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 68
Momentum 54
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 61
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 20%
Trend & RS 68.3 30%
Momentum 54.2 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 61.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 341.59
Stop Loss 329.61 (3.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 353.57 (+3.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 365.55 (+7.0%)
ATR(14) 5.99 (1.8%)
Risk per Share 11.98
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 85.5 +1.42
Momentum 54.2 +0.17
Quality 35.3 -0.59
Composite 58.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 12.1 18.0 -33% below
P/B Ratio 1.8 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 1.2% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
415.28
vs
Market Price
341.59
Upside
+21.6%
Margin of Safety +17.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)40,194,023,284
Terminal Value PV120,022,869,552
Total Enterprise Value160,216,892,836

Assumptions

Base FCF8,709,817,743
Growth Rate (5yr)6.1%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
43.41%
Full Kelly
21.71%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
47.48
RSI(14)
-1.4749
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

70
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+0.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance -3.1% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 47.48 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.4749 BULLISH
Ma Cross 347.93 / 325.29 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.43x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High365.91
Bollinger Upper349.0
SMA(200)325.29
SMA(50)347.93
SMA(20)342.77
Current Price341.59
Bollinger Lower336.53
52-Week Low265.30
ATR(14)5.99

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.13x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.04x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.43x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 342.83 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 346.75 Base line
Senkou A 344.79 Leading span A
Senkou B 347.97 Leading span B
Cloud 344.79 – 347.97 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 341.59 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 350.68 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 2 bars Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 336.53 – 349.0  |  KC: 334.69 – 350.84

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 25

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 319.94 Anchor: 2025-10-16 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +6.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (4 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/CB

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap131.79B
P/E (TTM)12.10
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.75
EPS28.22

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.1%
Profit Margin18.1%
ROE14.8%
Debt/Equity30.94
Current Ratio0.41
Dividend Yield1.2%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.38

Trading Data

341.59
Open
341.59
Day High
341.59
Day Low
2.11M
Volume (1.2x avg)

Recent News (8)

Chubb (CB) Puts Alexis Obligi In Charge Of Personal Lines Across EMEA
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Is Chubb Limited Stock Outperforming the S&P 500?
Barchart · 2026-09-02
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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —