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Comcast Corporation

CMCSA · Communication Services · · USD
23.34 USD
+0.00 (0.67%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 16:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

41
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 25
Momentum 30
Fundamental 56
Macro 78
Liquidity 50
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 20%
Trend & RS 24.7 30%
Momentum 29.8 15%
Fundamental 55.6 10%
Macro 78.4 20%
Liquidity 49.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 23.35
Stop Loss 21.69 (7.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 25.01 (+7.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 26.67 (+14.2%)
ATR(14) 0.83 (3.5%)
Risk per Share 1.66
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 97.7 +1.91
Momentum 29.8 -0.81
Quality 40.8 -0.37
Composite 56.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 4.5 18.0 -75% below
P/B Ratio 0.9 3.0 Below
Dividend Yield 5.7% 1.0% Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
72.55
vs
Market Price
23.34
Upside
+210.8%
Margin of Safety +67.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)65,779,844,353
Terminal Value PV193,383,436,677
Total Enterprise Value259,163,281,030

Assumptions

Base FCF14,574,692,443
Growth Rate (5yr)5.3%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
25.25%
Full Kelly
12.62%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
46.84
RSI(14)
-0.234
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

24
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-26.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance -16.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 46.84 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.234 BULLISH
Ma Cross 24.25 / 26.71 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.63x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High33.76
Bollinger Upper24.58
SMA(200)26.71
SMA(50)24.25
SMA(20)23.2
Current Price23.34
Bollinger Lower21.82
52-Week Low22.13
ATR(14)0.83

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 1.02x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 0.99x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.62x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.63x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 24.57 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 24.28 Base line
Senkou A 24.43 Leading span A
Senkou B 26.22 Leading span B
Cloud 24.43 – 26.22 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 23.35 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 24.52 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 21.82 – 24.58  |  KC: 21.94 – 24.46

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 18

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 23.55 Anchor: 2026-06-22 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/CMCSA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap83.39B
P/E (TTM)4.55
Forward P/EN/A
P/B0.95
EPS5.10

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth5.3%
Profit Margin15.0%
ROE20.9%
Debt/Equity106.86
Current Ratio0.86
Dividend Yield5.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.66

Trading Data

23.34
Open
23.34
Day High
23.34
Day Low
26.82M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Insider Monkey · 2026-07-09

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —