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Comcast Corporation

CMCSA · Communication Services · · USD
23.64 USD
+0.00 (1.29%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

38
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 26
Momentum 33
Fundamental 45
Macro 71
Liquidity 39
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 20%
Trend & RS 25.5 30%
Momentum 32.7 15%
Fundamental 44.6 10%
Macro 71.2 20%
Liquidity 39.3 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 23.68
Stop Loss 22.07 (6.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 25.27 (+6.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 26.88 (+13.5%)
ATR(14) 0.80 (3.4%)
Risk per Share 1.60
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 95.1 +1.80
Momentum 32.7 -0.69
Quality 40.8 -0.37
Composite 56.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 1.68 — Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 4.6 18.0 -74% below
P/B Ratio 1.0 3.0 Below
Dividend Yield 5.7% 1.0% Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
72.55
vs
Market Price
23.64
Upside
+206.8%
Margin of Safety +67.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)65,605,933,758
Terminal Value PV192,872,164,134
Total Enterprise Value258,478,097,892

Assumptions

Base FCF14,536,159,463
Growth Rate (5yr)5.3%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
23.26%
Full Kelly
11.63%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
50.76
RSI(14)
-0.1903
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

26
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-26.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (53d since high)
Sector Outperformance -17.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 50.76 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.1903 BULLISH
Ma Cross 24.18 / 26.69 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.1x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High33.76
Bollinger Upper24.58
SMA(200)26.69
SMA(50)24.18
SMA(20)23.2
Current Price23.64
Bollinger Lower21.82
52-Week Low22.13
ATR(14)0.8

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.01x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.63x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.64x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.1x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 24.77 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 24.28 Base line
Senkou A 24.53 Leading span A
Senkou B 24.88 Leading span B
Cloud 24.53 – 24.88 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 23.68 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 23.20 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 21.82 – 24.58  |  KC: 21.95 – 24.45

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 23.55 Anchor: 2026-06-22 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/CMCSA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap84.47B
P/E (TTM)4.64
Forward P/EN/A
P/B0.96
EPS5.10

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth5.3%
Profit Margin15.0%
ROE20.9%
Debt/Equity106.86
Current Ratio0.86
Dividend Yield5.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.66

Trading Data

23.64
Open
23.64
Day High
23.64
Day Low
2.99M
Volume (0.1x avg)

Recent News (8)

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TheStreet · 2026-07-10
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Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-09
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Insider Monkey · 2026-07-09

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —