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Comcast Corporation

CMCSA · Communication Services · · USD
25.03 USD
0.00 (-1.44%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 12:48 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

36
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 33
Momentum 34
Fundamental (0%) 45
Macro 65
Liquidity 58
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 40%
Trend & RS 33.1 20%
Momentum 34.1 20%
Fundamental 45.0 0%
Macro 65.1 15%
Liquidity 57.7 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 25.03
Stop Loss 23.29 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 26.77 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 28.51 (+13.9%)
ATR(14) 0.87 (3.5%)
Risk per Share 1.74
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 94.7 +1.79
Momentum 34.1 -0.63
Quality 40.8 -0.37
Composite 56.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 1.72 — Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 4.9 18.0 -73% below
P/B Ratio 1.0 3.0 Below
Dividend Yield 5.3% 1.0% Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
72.55
vs
Market Price
25.03
Upside
+189.9%
Margin of Safety +65.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)65,605,933,758
Terminal Value PV192,872,164,134
Total Enterprise Value258,478,097,892

Assumptions

Base FCF14,536,159,463
Growth Rate (5yr)5.3%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
21.48%
Full Kelly
10.74%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
31.08
RSI(14)
-0.8489
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

20
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-26.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance -17.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 31.08 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.8489 BEARISH
Ma Cross 28.61 / 28.25 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.09x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High34.36
Bollinger Upper31.05
SMA(200)28.25
SMA(50)28.61
SMA(20)27.78
Current Price25.03
Bollinger Lower24.51
52-Week Low24.13
ATR(14)0.87

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.14x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 26.30 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 28.48 Base line
Senkou A 27.39 Leading span A
Senkou B 28.48 Leading span B
Cloud 27.39 – 28.48 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 25.03 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 27.66 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 24.51 – 31.05  |  KC: 26.3 – 29.25

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 9
Hidden Bearish RSI 23
Regular Bullish RSI 26
Hidden Bearish RSI 30

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 27.68 Anchor: 2025-10-30 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -9.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/CMCSA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap89.41B
P/E (TTM)4.91
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.01
EPS5.10

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth5.3%
Profit Margin15.0%
ROE20.9%
Debt/Equity106.86
Current Ratio0.86
Dividend Yield5.3%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.69

Trading Data

25.03
Open
25.03
Day High
25.03
Day Low
35.01M
Volume (1.1x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —