Datadog, Inc.
DDOG · Technology · · USDFahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)
68
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
69
Momentum
9
Fundamental
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
88
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 69.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 8.6 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 88.0 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 178.51 |
| Stop Loss | 145.59 (18.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 211.43 (+18.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 244.35 (+36.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 16.46 (9.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 32.92 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Momentum | 8.6 | -1.65 | |
| Quality | 50.3 | +0.01 | |
| Composite | 19.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
30.36
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 242.5 | 28.0 | +766% above |
| P/B Ratio | 13.4 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
22.44
vs
Market Price
174.60
Upside
-87.1%
| Margin of Safety | -678.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,492,735,185 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,076,814,286 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 7,569,549,471 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 194,288,851 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
44.59%
Full Kelly
22.29%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
28.04
RSI(14)
-17.9477
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
97
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-26.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (20d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -35.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 28.04 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -17.9477 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 247.74 / 200.17 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.09x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 300.68 |
| Bollinger Upper | 320.53 |
| SMA(200) | 200.17 |
| SMA(50) | 247.74 |
| SMA(20) | 249.48 |
| Current Price | 174.60 |
| Bollinger Lower | 178.43 |
| 52-Week Low | 98.01 |
| ATR(14) | 16.46 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
64%
Sign of Weakness
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Stopping Volume | 3.25x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 2.5x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.09x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 227.75 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 235.59 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 231.67 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 235.59 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 231.67 – 235.59 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 178.51 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 277.22 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 178.43 – 320.53 | KC: 223.42 – 275.54
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 204.32
Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-12.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DDOG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 63.04B |
| P/E (TTM) | 242.50 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 13.37 |
| EPS | 0.72 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 35.2% |
| Profit Margin | 6.1% |
| ROE | 6.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 27.72 |
| Current Ratio | 3.51 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.51 |
Trading Data
174.60
Open
174.60
Day High
174.60
Day Low
10.07M
Volume (2.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)