Datadog, Inc.
DDOG · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
49
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
69
Momentum
10
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
88
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 69.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 10.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 88.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 174.60 |
| Stop Loss | 140.18 (19.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 209.02 (+19.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 243.44 (+39.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 17.21 (9.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 34.42 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Momentum | 9.1 | -1.64 | |
| Quality | 50.3 | +0.01 | |
| Composite | 19.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 242.5 | 28.0 | +766% above |
| P/B Ratio | 13.4 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
22.44
vs
Market Price
174.60
Upside
-87.1%
| Margin of Safety | -678.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,597,775,632 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,504,426,162 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,102,201,794 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 207,960,524 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
31.69%
Full Kelly
15.85%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
26.18
RSI(14)
-14.7893
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
97
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-20.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (19d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -31.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 26.18 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -14.7893 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 249.02 / 199.94 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.4x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 300.68 |
| Bollinger Upper | 320.43 |
| SMA(200) | 199.94 |
| SMA(50) | 249.02 |
| SMA(20) | 255.22 |
| Current Price | 174.60 |
| Bollinger Lower | 190.01 |
| 52-Week Low | 98.01 |
| ATR(14) | 17.21 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
64%
Selling Climax
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.39x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Stopping Volume | 3.12x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 2.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 227.75 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 235.59 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 231.67 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 235.59 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 231.67 – 235.59 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 174.60 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 276.46 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 190.01 – 320.43 | KC: 228.14 – 282.3
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 204.33
Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-14.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DDOG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 63.04B |
| P/E (TTM) | 242.50 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 13.37 |
| EPS | 0.72 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 35.2% |
| Profit Margin | 6.1% |
| ROE | 6.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 27.72 |
| Current Ratio | 3.51 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.51 |
Trading Data
174.60
Open
174.60
Day High
174.60
Day Low
10.07M
Volume (2.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)