Datadog, Inc.

DDOG · Technology · · USD

256.71 USD

0.00 (-4.57%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 100

Momentum 92

Fundamental 78

Macro 65

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	100.0	30%
Momentum	91.6	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	65.2	20%
Liquidity	39.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	257.41
Stop Loss	231.45 (10.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	283.37 (+10.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	309.33 (+20.2%)

ATR(14)	12.98 (5.0%)
Risk per Share	25.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	91.6	+1.66
Quality	46.0	-0.16
Composite	45.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	675.5	28.0	+2313% above
P/B Ratio	22.9	6.0	Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

11.84

Market Price

256.71

Upside

-95.4%

Margin of Safety	-2067.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	831,399,778
Terminal Value PV	3,384,566,865
Total Enterprise Value	4,215,966,643

Assumptions

Base FCF	108,211,898
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

55.02%

Full Kelly

27.51%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 86/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.81

RSI(14)

12.1567

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+125.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+120.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.81	NEUTRAL
Macd	12.1567	BULLISH
Ma Cross	220.86 / 159.17	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.28x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	278.70
Bollinger Upper	276.36
SMA(200)	159.17
SMA(50)	220.86
SMA(20)	241.84
Current Price	256.71
Bollinger Lower	207.31
52-Week Low	98.01
ATR(14)	12.98

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.15x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.28x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	255.84	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	242.13	Base line
Senkou A	248.99	Leading span A
Senkou B	203.35	Leading span B
Cloud	203.35 – 248.99	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	257.41	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	250.33	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH