Datadog, Inc.
DDOG · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
56
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
62
Momentum
57
Fundamental (0%)
89
Macro
64
Liquidity
44
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 62.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 57.0 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 44.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 212.93 |
| Stop Loss | 186.39 (12.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 239.47 (+12.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 266.01 (+24.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 13.27 (6.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 26.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Momentum | 57.0 | +0.28 | |
| Quality | 45.2 | -0.19 | |
| Composite | 34.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
37.25
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 434.6 | 28.0 | +1452% above |
| P/B Ratio | 17.5 | 6.0 | Above |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
15.27
vs
Market Price
212.93
Upside
-92.8%
| Margin of Safety | -1294.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,008,653,704 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,106,154,462 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 5,114,808,166 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 131,282,609 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
36.61%
Full Kelly
18.31%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
38.65
RSI(14)
-9.0069
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
68
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-13.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (23d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 38.65 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -9.0069 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 249.23 / 176.37 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.6x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 292.72 |
| Bollinger Upper | 263.82 |
| SMA(200) | 176.37 |
| SMA(50) | 249.23 |
| SMA(20) | 235.27 |
| Current Price | 212.93 |
| Bollinger Lower | 206.71 |
| 52-Week Low | 98.01 |
| ATR(14) | 13.27 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
100%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.48x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 230.11 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 250.47 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 240.29 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 250.47 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 240.29 – 250.47 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 212.93 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 267.97 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 206.71 – 263.82 | KC: 215.61 – 254.93
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 7 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 9 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 195.78
Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+8.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DDOG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 76.46B |
| P/E (TTM) | 434.55 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 17.50 |
| EPS | 0.49 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 35.6% |
| Profit Margin | 4.5% |
| ROE | 4.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 29.26 |
| Current Ratio | 3.21 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.49 |
Trading Data
212.93
Open
212.93
Day High
212.93
Day Low
2.50M
Volume (0.5x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)