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Deere & Company

DE · Industrials · · USD
594.31 USD
+0.00 (0.24%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 19:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

65
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 80
Momentum 64
Fundamental 67
Macro 71
Liquidity 42
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 80.3 10%
Momentum 64.5 5%
Fundamental 67.1 40%
Macro 71.2 15%
Liquidity 42.1 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 593.58
Stop Loss 556.96 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 630.20 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 666.82 (+12.3%)
ATR(14) 18.31 (3.1%)
Risk per Share 36.62
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 34.8 -0.61
Momentum 64.5 +0.58
Quality 48.6 -0.06
Composite 49.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 3.93 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 33.6 18.0 +87% above
P/B Ratio 5.8 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.1% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
218.13
vs
Market Price
594.31
Upside
-63.3%
Margin of Safety -172.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)15,713,226,880
Terminal Value PV43,205,765,794
Total Enterprise Value58,918,992,674

Assumptions

Base FCF3,818,236,538
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
42.47%
Full Kelly
21.24%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
48.91
RSI(14)
8.1545
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

75
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-14.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -8.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 48.91 NEUTRAL
Macd 8.1545 BEARISH
Ma Cross 579.84 / 534.23 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.17x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High674.19
Bollinger Upper643.53
SMA(200)534.23
SMA(50)579.84
SMA(20)601.67
Current Price594.31
Bollinger Lower559.81
52-Week Low433.00
ATR(14)18.31

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.87x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.8x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.67x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Demand 0.17x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 614.88 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 597.09 Base line
Senkou A 605.98 Leading span A
Senkou B 576.40 Leading span B
Cloud 576.40 – 605.98 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 593.58 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 586.77 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 559.81 – 643.53  |  KC: 574.37 – 628.96

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 543.09 Anchor: 2025-10-14 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +9.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/DE

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap160.53B
P/E (TTM)33.63
Forward P/EN/A
P/B5.85
EPS17.67

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-11.1%
Profit Margin10.1%
ROE18.3%
Debt/Equity376.02
Current Ratio2.21
Dividend Yield1.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.90

Trading Data

594.31
Open
594.31
Day High
594.31
Day Low
202.6K
Volume (0.2x avg)

Recent News (8)

Farming Is Terrible Right Now. That’s Good for Deere and AGCO Stocks.
Barrons.com · 2026-07-10
Deere settles right to repair dispute with FTC
Manufacturing Dive · 2026-07-10
Jim Cramer on Deere & Company: “The Stock Is Incredible, and It’s Not Done Going Higher”
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-09
Grand Forks-based True North Equipment to be acquired by RDO Equipment Co.
Grand Forks Herald · 2026-07-09
John Deere owners will get the right to repair their own equipment under a new FTC settlement
Associated Press · 2026-07-08
Stocks To Watch: 14 Names Test And Tease New Buy Zones
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-07-08
Deere settles lawsuit by US FTC, states over equipment repair restrictions
Reuters · 2026-07-08
What You Actually Pay To Join The CAT Stock Run
Trefis · 2026-07-08

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —