Deere & Company
DE · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
64
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
81
Momentum
77
Fundamental
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
67
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 81.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 76.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 67.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 663.31 |
| Stop Loss | 624.73 (5.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 701.89 (+5.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 740.47 (+11.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 19.29 (2.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 38.58 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 33.6 | -0.66 | |
| Momentum | 69.9 | +0.80 | |
| Quality | 47.8 | -0.09 | |
| Composite | 50.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.9 | 18.0 | +105% above |
| P/B Ratio | 6.4 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 98.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
251.60
vs
Market Price
663.31
Upside
-62.1%
| Margin of Safety | -163.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 17,319,570,688 |
| Terminal Value PV | 50,516,982,939 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 67,836,553,627 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,880,448,687 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 4.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
42.22%
Full Kelly
21.11%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
52.76
RSI(14)
2.1151
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
77
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+12.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 31d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +9.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.76 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.1151 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 665.29 / 605.4 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.52x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 721.22 |
| Bollinger Upper | 679.52 |
| SMA(200) | 605.4 |
| SMA(50) | 665.29 |
| SMA(20) | 648.11 |
| Current Price | 663.31 |
| Bollinger Lower | 616.7 |
| 52-Week Low | 455.91 |
| ATR(14) | 19.29 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.11x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 656.15 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 655.41 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 655.78 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 667.62 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 655.78 – 667.62 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 663.31 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 667.26 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 616.7 – 679.52 | KC: 619.44 – 676.77
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 10 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 589.21
Anchor: 2025-12-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+12.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 178.85B |
| P/E (TTM) | 36.87 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 6.39 |
| EPS | 17.99 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.9% |
| Profit Margin | 10.2% |
| ROE | 18.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 230.30 |
| Current Ratio | 2.13 |
| Dividend Yield | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.90 |
Trading Data
663.31
Open
663.31
Day High
663.31
Day Low
1.72M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)