Deere & Company

DE · Industrials · · USD

693.53 USD

0.00 (-0.13%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 22:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 83

Fundamental (0%) 70

Macro 64

Liquidity 55

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	40%
Trend & RS	97.6	20%
Momentum	83.0	20%
Fundamental	70.4	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	55.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	693.53
Stop Loss	653.65 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	733.41 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	773.29 (+11.5%)

ATR(14)	19.94 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	39.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	24.4	-1.02
Momentum	83.0	+1.32
Quality	47.8	-0.09
Composite	51.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 4.26 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	38.6	18.0	+114% above
P/B Ratio	6.7	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	93.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

221.71

Market Price

693.53

Upside

-68.0%

Margin of Safety	-212.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	15,942,619,943
Terminal Value PV	43,836,514,842
Total Enterprise Value	59,779,134,785

Assumptions

Base FCF	3,873,977,920
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

56.07%

Full Kelly

28.04%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 88/100. Estimated win rate 67%, avg win 10.3%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

68.3

RSI(14)

20.7278

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+14.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 2d since high
Sector Outperformance	+19.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	68.3	NEUTRAL
Macd	20.7278	BULLISH
Ma Cross	618.75 / 566.16	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.78x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	705.88
Bollinger Upper	703.31
SMA(200)	566.16
SMA(50)	618.75
SMA(20)	634.5
Current Price	693.53
Bollinger Lower	565.69
52-Week Low	433.00
ATR(14)	19.94

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.32x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.5x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.25x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	661.55	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	642.60	Base line
Senkou A	652.07	Leading span A
Senkou B	641.16	Leading span B
Cloud	641.16 – 652.07	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	693.53	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	592.67	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH