D.R. Horton, Inc.
DHI · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
61
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
61
Momentum
67
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
24
Liquidity
36
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 61.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 67.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 36.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 153.47 |
| Stop Loss | 142.10 (7.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 164.82 (+7.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 176.19 (+14.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.68 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 11.36 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 81.7 | +1.27 | |
| Momentum | 67.3 | +0.69 | |
| Quality | 60.6 | +0.42 | |
| Composite | 69.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.2 | 18.0 | -15% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
124.81
vs
Market Price
154.22
Upside
-19.1%
| Margin of Safety | -23.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,034,633,196 |
| Terminal Value PV | 24,842,016,785 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 33,876,649,981 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,195,371,252 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
40.16%
Full Kelly
20.08%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
59.04
RSI(14)
3.8993
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
53
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+9.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +6.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 59.04 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 3.8993 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 141.28 / 147.02 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 170.79 |
| Bollinger Upper | 158.92 |
| SMA(200) | 147.02 |
| SMA(50) | 141.28 |
| SMA(20) | 144.36 |
| Current Price | 154.22 |
| Bollinger Lower | 129.81 |
| 52-Week Low | 130.40 |
| ATR(14) | 5.68 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
43%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.09x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.39x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.01x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 151.11 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 146.03 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 148.57 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 146.03 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 146.03 – 148.57 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 153.47 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 135.00 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 129.81 – 158.92 | KC: 136.01 – 152.72
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 4 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 145.61
Anchor: 2026-10-14 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DHI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 41.86B |
| P/E (TTM) | 15.25 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.81 |
| EPS | 10.11 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -3.2% |
| Profit Margin | 8.7% |
| ROE | 12.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 25.53 |
| Current Ratio | 4.30 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.37 |
Trading Data
154.22
Open
154.22
Day High
154.22
Day Low
109.4K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)