The Walt Disney Company
DIS · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
64
/ 100
Technical
80
Trend & RS
92
Momentum
70
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 80.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 91.5 | 10% |
| Momentum | 69.6 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 68.5 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 117.22 |
| Stop Loss | 112.38 (4.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 122.06 (+4.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 126.90 (+8.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.42 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 4.84 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 71.6 | +0.87 | |
| Momentum | 69.6 | +0.78 | |
| Quality | 26.5 | -0.94 | |
| Composite | 55.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.2 | 18.0 | +34% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% | 1.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
73.51
vs
Market Price
117.22
Upside
-37.3%
| Margin of Safety | -59.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 31,523,187,226 |
| Terminal Value PV | 95,406,857,981 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 126,930,045,207 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 6,699,545,038 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 6.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
42.28%
Full Kelly
21.14%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
68.08
RSI(14)
2.3889
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
78
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+16.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +16.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 68.08 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.3889 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 107.84 / 103.11 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.44x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 120.80 |
| Bollinger Upper | 117.12 |
| SMA(200) | 103.11 |
| SMA(50) | 107.84 |
| SMA(20) | 111.45 |
| Current Price | 117.22 |
| Bollinger Lower | 105.79 |
| 52-Week Low | 92.19 |
| ATR(14) | 2.42 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 114.78 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 110.97 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 112.88 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 110.97 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 110.97 – 112.88 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 117.22 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 101.33 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 105.79 – 117.12 | KC: 108.12 – 114.79
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 102.66
Anchor: 2026-03-27 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+14.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DIS
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 202.40B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.17 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.84 |
| EPS | 4.85 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 6.8% |
| Profit Margin | 8.7% |
| ROE | 8.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 39.40 |
| Current Ratio | 0.71 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.43 |
Trading Data
117.22
Open
117.22
Day High
117.22
Day Low
11.73M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)