Dover Corporation
DOV · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
47
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
50
Momentum
50
Fundamental
78
Macro
24
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 49.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 49.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 48.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 202.56 |
| Stop Loss | 192.24 (5.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 212.88 (+5.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 223.20 (+10.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.16 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 10.32 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 63.4 | +0.53 | |
| Momentum | 49.7 | -0.01 | |
| Quality | 46.3 | -0.15 | |
| Composite | 53.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 23.6 | 18.0 | +31% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.5 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
133.77
vs
Market Price
202.56
Upside
-34.0%
| Margin of Safety | -51.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,374,454,589 |
| Terminal Value PV | 13,416,676,890 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,791,131,479 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 911,852,558 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
30.5%
Full Kelly
15.25%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 47/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
51.79
RSI(14)
4.7204
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
49
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (3d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 51.79 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.7204 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 194.64 / 209.15 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.83x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 237.54 |
| Bollinger Upper | 217.44 |
| SMA(200) | 209.15 |
| SMA(50) | 194.64 |
| SMA(20) | 201.1 |
| Current Price | 202.56 |
| Bollinger Lower | 184.76 |
| 52-Week Low | 176.91 |
| ATR(14) | 5.16 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
54%
Selling Climax
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 3.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Stopping Volume | 2.02x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 209.12 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 201.50 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 205.31 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 200.87 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 200.87 – 205.31 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 202.56 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 188.06 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 184.76 – 217.44 | KC: 193.91 – 208.29
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 205.60
Anchor: 2025-11-07 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DOV
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 26.94B |
| P/E (TTM) | 23.64 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.53 |
| EPS | 8.57 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.5% |
| Profit Margin | 13.6% |
| ROE | 15.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 42.75 |
| Current Ratio | 1.95 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.09 |
Trading Data
202.56
Open
202.56
Day High
202.56
Day Low
1.13M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)