Dover Corporation

DOV · Industrials · · USD

192.88 USD

+0.00 (0.95%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 32

Momentum 34

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	31.6	30%
Momentum	33.8	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	52.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	192.88
Stop Loss	184.56 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	201.20 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	209.52 (+8.6%)

ATR(14)	4.16 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	8.32
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	64.5	+0.58
Momentum	33.8	-0.65
Quality	46.3	-0.15
Composite	48.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.3	18.0	+30% above
P/B Ratio	3.4	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.1%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

125.88

Market Price

192.88

Upside

-34.7%

Margin of Safety	-53.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	4,204,238,286
Terminal Value PV	12,748,699,723
Total Enterprise Value	16,952,938,009

Assumptions

Base FCF	891,044,404
Growth Rate (5yr)	6.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

22.93%

Full Kelly

11.46%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

36.91

RSI(14)

-4.4093

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-14.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (50d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	36.91	NEUTRAL
Macd	-4.4093	BEARISH
Ma Cross	206.82 / 208.95	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.29x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	237.54
Bollinger Upper	213.25
SMA(200)	208.95
SMA(50)	206.82
SMA(20)	200.69
Current Price	192.88
Bollinger Lower	188.13
52-Week Low	158.97
ATR(14)	4.16

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Sign of Weakness

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.39x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.49x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.29x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	196.88	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	200.86	Base line
Senkou A	198.87	Leading span A
Senkou B	210.38	Leading span B
Cloud	198.87 – 210.38	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	192.88	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	204.08	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH