Dow Inc.

DOW · Basic Materials · · USD

29.44 USD

0.00 (-3.03%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 51

Momentum 30

Fundamental 22

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	50.6	30%
Momentum	29.9	15%
Fundamental	22.2	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	46.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	29.44
Stop Loss	27.30 (7.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	31.58 (+7.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	33.72 (+14.5%)

ATR(14)	1.07 (3.6%)
Risk per Share	2.14
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	91.1	+1.65
Momentum	29.9	-0.80
Quality	19.4	-1.22
Composite	46.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.3	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.8%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

22.33%

Full Kelly

11.17%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 37/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

43.8

RSI(14)

0.017

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-17.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-11.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	43.8	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.017	BEARISH
Ma Cross	29.69 / 30.8	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.17x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.74
Bollinger Upper	32.15
SMA(200)	30.8
SMA(50)	29.69
SMA(20)	30.64
Current Price	29.44
Bollinger Lower	29.13
52-Week Low	20.65
ATR(14)	1.07

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	30.40	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	30.69	Base line
Senkou A	30.54	Leading span A
Senkou B	29.75	Leading span B
Cloud	29.75 – 30.54	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	29.44	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	29.94	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH