Dow Inc.

DOW · Basic Materials · · USD

28.81 USD

+0.00 (1.07%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 55

Momentum 34

Fundamental 11

Macro 71

Liquidity 33

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	55.3	10%
Momentum	33.6	5%
Fundamental	11.1	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	33.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	28.74
Stop Loss	26.38 (8.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	31.10 (+8.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	33.46 (+16.4%)

ATR(14)	1.18 (4.1%)
Risk per Share	2.36
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	90.9	+1.64
Momentum	33.6	-0.66
Quality	14.7	-1.41
Composite	46.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.4	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.9%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

19.64%

Full Kelly

9.82%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

37.22

RSI(14)

-1.6725

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-34.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-22.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	37.22	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.6725	BULLISH
Ma Cross	33.96 / 29.46	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.02x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.74
Bollinger Upper	34.49
SMA(200)	29.46
SMA(50)	33.96
SMA(20)	29.95
Current Price	28.81
Bollinger Lower	25.41
52-Week Low	20.40
ATR(14)	1.18

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	28.35	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	31.42	Base line
Senkou A	29.89	Leading span A
Senkou B	33.93	Leading span B
Cloud	29.89 – 33.93	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	28.74	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	35.40	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH