Dow Inc.
DOW · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
40
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
75
Momentum
48
Fundamental
34
Macro
24
Liquidity
53
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 75.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 47.7 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 33.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 52.9 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 31.69 |
| Stop Loss | 29.59 (6.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 33.79 (+6.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 35.89 (+13.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.05 (3.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 83.2 | +1.33 | |
| Momentum | 47.7 | -0.09 | |
| Quality | 21.7 | -1.13 | |
| Composite | 50.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.26
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.4% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
24.76%
Full Kelly
12.38%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
51.12
RSI(14)
0.9701
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
87
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+9.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 51.12 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.9701 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 30.08 / 32.27 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.06x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 42.74 |
| Bollinger Upper | 35.94 |
| SMA(200) | 32.27 |
| SMA(50) | 30.08 |
| SMA(20) | 31.78 |
| Current Price | 31.98 |
| Bollinger Lower | 27.61 |
| 52-Week Low | 20.93 |
| ATR(14) | 1.05 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.5x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.06x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 33.13 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 31.05 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 32.09 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 30.73 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 30.73 – 32.09 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 31.69 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 27.97 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 27.61 – 35.94 | KC: 30.22 – 33.34
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 31.04
Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DOW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 23.15B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.43 |
| EPS | -1.29 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 13.0% |
| Profit Margin | -2.1% |
| ROE | -3.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 107.57 |
| Current Ratio | 1.76 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.39 |
Trading Data
31.98
Open
31.98
Day High
31.98
Day Low
9.94M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)