Dow Inc.

DOW · Basic Materials · · USD

38.76 USD

+0.00 (5.13%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:50 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 88

Momentum 82

Fundamental 34

Macro 65

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	87.6	10%
Momentum	81.7	5%
Fundamental	33.5	40%
Macro	65.1	15%
Liquidity	41.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	38.76
Stop Loss	35.08 (9.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	42.44 (+9.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	46.12 (+19.0%)

ATR(14)	1.84 (4.8%)
Risk per Share	3.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	66.3	+0.65
Momentum	81.7	+1.27
Quality	14.7	-1.41
Composite	54.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.24 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.8	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

33.8%

Full Kelly

16.9%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

50.85

RSI(14)

0.1585

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+15.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (29d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+22.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	50.85	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.1585	BEARISH
Ma Cross	37.89 / 27.64	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.68x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.74
Bollinger Upper	41.44
SMA(200)	27.64
SMA(50)	37.89
SMA(20)	38.69
Current Price	38.76
Bollinger Lower	35.95
52-Week Low	20.40
ATR(14)	1.84

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-05	Normal	0.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06	Normal	1.35x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	1.31x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	39.10	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	38.42	Base line
Senkou A	38.76	Leading span A
Senkou B	35.80	Leading span B
Cloud	35.80 – 38.76	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	38.76	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	40.56	Bearish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL