Dow Inc.

DOW · Basic Materials · · USD

28.91 USD

+0.00 (1.42%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 56

Momentum 34

Fundamental 31

Macro 65

Liquidity 33

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	55.7	30%
Momentum	34.5	15%
Fundamental	31.3	10%
Macro	65.2	20%
Liquidity	33.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	28.93
Stop Loss	26.52 (8.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	31.32 (+8.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	33.73 (+16.6%)

ATR(14)	1.20 (4.2%)
Risk per Share	2.40
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	73.8	+0.95
Momentum	34.5	-0.62
Quality	14.7	-1.41
Composite	41.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.02 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.4	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.9%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

32.28%

Full Kelly

16.14%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

38.59

RSI(14)

-1.6577

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-34.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-22.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	38.59	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.6577	BULLISH
Ma Cross	33.96 / 29.46	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.08x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.74
Bollinger Upper	34.49
SMA(200)	29.46
SMA(50)	33.96
SMA(20)	29.96
Current Price	28.91
Bollinger Lower	25.42
52-Week Low	20.40
ATR(14)	1.2

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	28.35	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	31.42	Base line
Senkou A	29.89	Leading span A
Senkou B	33.93	Leading span B
Cloud	29.89 – 33.93	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	28.93	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	35.40	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH