DexCom, Inc.
DXCM · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
60
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
66
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
54
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 65.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 65.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 53.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 84.46 |
| Stop Loss | 78.18 (7.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 90.74 (+7.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 97.02 (+14.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.14 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.28 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 18.6 | -1.26 | |
| Momentum | 65.5 | +0.62 | |
| Quality | 63.2 | +0.53 | |
| Composite | 49.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 33.2 | 22.0 | +51% above |
| P/B Ratio | 12.4 | 4.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 1.5% | Below avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
46.20
vs
Market Price
84.46
Upside
-45.3%
| Margin of Safety | -82.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,024,886,589 |
| Terminal Value PV | 13,206,183,628 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,231,070,217 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 757,836,252 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.2% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
39.11%
Full Kelly
19.56%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
51.82
RSI(14)
-0.3642
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+4.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (53d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -13.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 51.82 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.3642 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 85.4 / 74.86 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.98x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 92.59 |
| Bollinger Upper | 89.78 |
| SMA(200) | 74.86 |
| SMA(50) | 85.4 |
| SMA(20) | 82.96 |
| Current Price | 84.46 |
| Bollinger Lower | 76.14 |
| 52-Week Low | 54.11 |
| ATR(14) | 3.14 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 83.38 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 83.38 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 83.38 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 84.43 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 83.38 – 84.43 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 84.46 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 86.23 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 76.14 – 89.78 | KC: 78.3 – 87.62
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 72.15
Anchor: 2025-11-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+17.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DXCM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 31.50B |
| P/E (TTM) | 33.25 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 12.43 |
| EPS | 2.54 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.2% |
| Profit Margin | 19.4% |
| ROE | 37.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 54.94 |
| Current Ratio | 1.74 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.44 |
Trading Data
84.46
Open
84.46
Day High
84.46
Day Low
4.90M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)